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NRL Preview Canterbury Bulldogs v Parramatta Eels round 3

NRL Preview
Canterbury Bulldogs v Parramatta Eels

Friday, March 18, 8pm (AEST), ANZ Stadium, Sydney

One of the finest and fiercest rivalries in the NRL, Canterbury and Parramatta have been going at it for decades. These teams always lift for each other and with both teams flying high, a great battle in front of a huge crowd is anticipated.
Selection NotesCanterbury have an injury concern with Josh Reynolds. He has been named but has severe back bruising. Former French international Dane Chisholm is his likely replacement if he doesn’t come up. David Klemmer also has a judiciary appointment and looks set to miss two matches. Danny Fualo will come in if Klemmer is suspended. Aiden Tolman needs to pass a concussion test. Chase Stabley comes in for game-winner Kerrod Holland. Parramatta have issue of their own with in-form backrower Manu Ma’u suspended and hooker Nathan Peats injured, as is his backup Cameron King. Ma’u has been replaced by David Gower while Isaac De Gois comes in for Peats.

HistoryCanterbury hold a 75-58-5 all-time advantage over rivals Parramatta and have dominated in recent years with 9 wins in the last 10 meetings. Across that stretch of 10 matches dating back to 2011, the Bulldogs have posted 28-plus on six occasions while the Eels have surpassed 16 just once. All-time at ANZ, the Bulldogs hold a 15-9 advantage. Semi Radradra has six tries in five games against Canterbury while Curtis Rona has five tries in three games against the Eels. Will Hopoate and Tony Williams are ex-Parramatta players.
Form
Canterbury have opened the season with back-to-back wins. They opened with a dominant road win at Brookvale against Manly, winning 28-4, before a last second 18-16 win over Penrith where they started slowly before grinding their way back into it. The Bulldogs conceding just three tries is equal second best in the NRL. Parramatta struggled without their halves in a 17-4 season opener defeat to Brisbane before a strong 20-16 victory over premiers North Queensland. It has been an impressive start for the Eels, particularly defensively.
Round 3 NRL Odds
Key Matchup
Moses Mbye v Kieran Foran. Both come into this match off relative highs. Mbye was electric in guiding Canterbury to a dramatic win over Penrith, scoring the equalising try to top off a scintillating performance. Foran enjoyed a solid debut for the Eels with the win over the defending premiers taking plenty of pressure of the smart half’s shoulders. This should be a great battle.

Stats That Matter
Canterbury and Parramatta have both gone under in their season opener while both have gone 1-1 against the spread in side bets. The Eels have a shocking record at ANZ, going 2-18 since 2011 with an average losing margin of 15.65. Since 2013 Canterbury are 24-19 at the ground with a 22-21 ATS record. When favoured by 4 or more they are 10-13 ATS with a 13-10 under record. When favoured by 4 at home off a close win, the Bulldogs are 6-1 with a 2-5 ATS record. Parramatta are a poor 4-11 (6-9 ATS) away from home off a win with a 12-3 over record. Night games Rounds 1-4 cover 60% since 2008 with the under 39-25 with a home favourite of 4 or more points. Home favourites who conceded 16 points the previous start and are spotting more than a try are 18-6 with a 14-10 ATS record Rounds 1-4.


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