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Home » » NRL round 6 Thursday night : Brisbane Broncos v St George Illawarra Dragons

NRL round 6 Thursday night : Brisbane Broncos v St George Illawarra Dragons

Premiership front-runners Brisbane host a St George Illawarra side that looked dreadfully out of sorts last week and is desperate to put their attacking woes behind them.
Selection NotesA winning side is a stable side and so it is with Brisbane who are unchanged from the team that defeated the Titans. St George Illawarra are also unchanged from the team well beaten by North Queensland last Saturday.
NRL 2016: The Ultimate Guide
HistoryBrisbane have won 11 of their last 13 against St George Illawarra dating back to 2009, totally dominating the rivalry after dropping eight straight between 2005 and 2009. The teams split two matches last year evenly, the Dragons’ first win against the Broncos since 2010 coming in Round 7. Brisbane have posted 22-plus in 6 of their last 7 against Saints and have won eight on the trot at Suncorp (though only two by more than 8 points). Ben Hunt has scored 5 tries in his last 4 games against the Dragons. Broncos fullback Darius Boyd is a Saints premiership winning player while coach Wayne Bennett guided St George Illawarra to their only title.
Brisbane sit second on the premiership ladder with a 4-1 record, including wins in their last two against North Queensland and Gold Coast. Brisbane rank seventh in attack and fourth in defence while they have a 3-0 record against Top 8 teams and 1-1 against teams outside. St George Illawarra are 14th on the ladder with a 2-3 record. After losing the first two rounds, they put consecutive wins together against Souths and Penrith before a humiliating loss to North Queensland. They have the clear worst attack with an average of just 8 points a game while they rank ninth in defence. Against teams in the Top 8 they are 1-3 while they are 1-0 against teams outside it.
Round 6 NRL Odds
Key Matchup
Anthony Milford v Gareth Widdop. Milford has been stunning in 2016 and is destined for higher honours sooner rather than later. He had his quietest game of the year against the Titans but is in remarkable form. Gareth Widdop is a classy player but the stuttering attack has to fall on someone’s shoulders and it is probably their highest paid half. He needs to lift.
Stats That Matter
The Broncos have opened the year 2-3 ATS with a 3-2 under record while the Dragons are 3-2 ATS with a perfect 5-0 under number. Brisbane are 8-5 ATS when favoured at home by more than 12 points since 2008 while big home favourites are 74-64 ATS. In the first two months of the season, the big home favourites is 15-12 ATS with a 18-9 under record. The Saints are 3-10 with a 6-7 ATS record (1-8, 3-6 ATS on the road) when an underdog of 10 or more points. Double digit road underdogs on a five-day backup are 15-11 ATS since 2008 with a 16-10 under record. The under has saluted in 11 straight. The under is 86-47 Rounds 1-8 since 2008 at night when the home team scored 20 points in its previous game.

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