The State of Origin show shifts to Brisbane for the second game of the series where Queensland go in pronounced favourites to win their 10th series in 11 years following a gritty 6-4 win over the Blues at ANZ Stadium in the series opener. The Maroons have a coronation on their mind while it is all about survival for Laurie Daley and his Blues.
Selection NotesQueensland were forced into their only change with Nate Myles out hurt. Jacob Lillyman comes back into the team while Josh McGuire is elevated to the starting lineup. Laurie Daley has stuck fat with the team that went close in Sydney with the only change being Tyson Frizell – via Wade Graham, who was suspended for his debut appearance after being selected – replacing the injured Boyd Cordner, who was arguably the Blues’ best in the series opener. James Tedesco leads a long list of players who were overlooked while Dylan Walker miraculously kept his spot on the bench.
HistoryQueensland have won 57 Origins with New South Wales claiming 47 and three matches drawn. The Maroons have won 18 series to 12 and hold a 1768-1622 points advantage. NSW have used 257 players all-time compared to 181 for the Maroons. This will be the 52nd Origin played at Suncorp with the Maroons winning 32 to the Blues’ 18 with one draw. Since 2008 the Maroons have won 8 of the 10 matches played at Suncorp. The Maroons have won 3 of the last 4 at Suncorp by 20-plus including a record 52-6 win in the decider last year. Four of the last six matches at Suncorp have topped 40 points. Greg Inglis and Darius Boyd are the two greatest tryscorers in Origin history with 17 and 16 respectively.
Form The Maroons are the form team and have been for the last decade. They have won 9 of the last 10 series – and they won the series decider last year 52-6, the last game played at Suncorp. They won the series opener down in Sydney 6-4 to boot. Over the last five years the Maroons have won 11 of the 16 matches. The Maroons have scored 30-plus in 2 of their last 5 while the Blues have not posted 30 points since the final game of the 2005 series. In terms of club form, Queensland have five players in the Top 20 of the Dally M Medal count – Cronk, Smith, Thurston, Inglis and McGuire – with Cronk equal leader while the Blues have just equal leader Andrew Fifita coming off the bench. Queensland have 12 players from Top 4 clubs with just two from bottom four teams. NSW have four players from Top 4 teams while four players have been plucked from bottom four clubs.
State of Origin Odds
Key Matchup Darius Boyd v Matt Moylan. By the count of everyone bar the selectors dishing out the award, Darius Boyd was the man of the match in the series opener. He was absolutely brilliant. There is no more reliable fullback in the game with Boyd mistake-free from beginning to end. His attacking touches are also perfect with his pass setting Queensland up for the match-winning try. The pressure is certainly on his opposite Matt Moylan, who had a mixed bag on his debut. Moylan played hard but made some critical errors and was lucky to hold his spot with James Tedesco waiting in the wings. With playmaking and the kick return game so important, Boyd and Moylan enter this with the weight of the game on their shoulders.