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the experts tipping Premier League round 11

Joe Dyer
Back Arsenal to beat Spurs @ 1.99
Sunday, 12:00
Live on BT Sport 1

I'm a Spurs fan so it genuinely pains me to do this but I have to back Arsenal in the Battle this weekend.
I'm pretty sure that any successful bettor would say you have to be dispassionate to win at the game, and having seen Spurs play in recent weeks I think Arsenal should be shorter than even money to beat their old rivals on Sunday.
Spurs' defence has been their strength this season but the unit looks nervy without Toby Alderweireld and I don't fancy their chances of going 90 minutes without conceding at The Emirates.
Worse still, the attack is just not ticking so once they go behind I can't see a way back, even against an Arsenal defence that is pretty average.
But to make matters even worse their opponents are absolutely flying and it's that gulf of confidence between the two teams that troubles me most.
Last season's game at The Emirates was one of the best Tottenham performances of recent memory but I just can't see that being replicated on Sunday so, with regret, my tenner has to go on the auld enemy.
Joe Dyer 2015-16 P/L: +£23.45

Mike Norman
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.70 in Man City v Middlesbrough
Saturday, 15:00

As a Boro fan I'm hoping for a bit of 'after the lord mayor's show' when Man City host Aitor Karanka's men on Saturday afternoon.
City put in a superb second half performance to beat Barcelona in midweek and on the back of that outcome there won't be many people expecting Pep Guardiola's men not to take all three points from this league fixture, including myself.
But there are reasons to believe that Boro can keep the score down here, not least the fact that they have conceded just once in their last three outings and only Southampton from those outside of the top six in the table have conceded fewer thank Karanka's men this term
The Boro bosss set his side up to defend and frustrate Arsenal a fortnight ago in a similar game to this - the hosts long odds-on to win with home advantage. He'll do exactly the same at the Etihad Stadium. Four defenders with a bank of three holding midfielders just in front.
If City score early then it changes the complexion of the game completely, but I don't think they'll go for the jugular early. I can see them being patient and I can see Boro defending in numbers for long spells. And the hope is that we see a low-scoring game.
Mike Norman 2015-16 P/L: +£14.40

Dan Thomas
Back Swansea + 1 v Manchester United at 13/10
Sunday, 15:00

There hasn't exactly been a 'new manager bounce' for Bob Bradley at Swansea, with the Welshmen only picking up one point in three games since his arrival, but I'm not sure they should be a 5/1 shot at home to struggling Manchester United
Jose Mourinho's men have gone four games without a league win since overcoming Leicester in September, including disappointing home draws with Stoke and Burnley and pastings at Watford and Chelsea, both of whom couldn't beat Swansea.
Given Swansea's struggles - just the one win all season - I can't quite justify backing them even at a chunky 5.90 but I'm happy to take odds against on the Swans with a goal start. They went toe to toe with Chelsea and Man City at the Liberty, and a similar approach will give me a good chance of a welcome winner.
Dan Thomas 2015-16 P/L: -£52.50

Luke Moore

Back Burnley to beat Crystal Palace at 3.35
Saturday, 15:00

I was thinking about going back to basics from this week in the Battle - picking out solid 1.80 shots and trying to work my way slowly back into profit, but then this caught my eye and I couldn't resist it.
I really like Burnley this season - they've looked so solid at home, notching up wins against Liverpool, Everton and Watford so far, and for me the price is all wrong for them to beat an inconsistent Crystal Palace who are pretty terrible on a bad day and passable on a good one.
Palace themselves are in no sort of form at all, they've lost three on the spin in the league including a disastrous home defeat to an average West Ham side, and I think the Clarets have a really good chances of chalking up another home win.
Sean Dyche and his men have learnt their lessons from relegation a couple of seasons ago, and they look robust, hard-working, difficult to break down and confident. There is no way they should be 3.35 to win this at home. They're getting my tenner.

Luke Moore 2015-16 P/L: -£78.50






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