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Monday, June 29, 2020

Crystal Palace v Burnley: Two lowest first-half scorers meet

Crystal Palace v Burnley: Two lowest first-half scorers meet

Neither Crystal Palace or Burnley score many first-half goals and Dan Fitch is expecting this match to be goalless at the break...

Crystal Palace 2.46 v Burnley 3.50; The Draw 3.20
Monday 29 June, 20:00
Live on Amazon Prime Video

Palace hoping for an easier night's work

Crystal Palace will be looking to recover from their midweek mauling by Liverpool, when they host Burnley on Monday night.
The Premier League champions inflicted a brutal 4-0 defeat upon Palace at Anfield. So dominant were Liverpool, that Crystal Palace did not manage to have a single touch within their penalty area.
Prior to this humiliation, Palace had marked the return of the Premier League with an impressive 2-0 win at Bournemouth. That result should be more indicative of how Roy Hodgson's team might perform in this match.
Hodgson already has quite a lengthy injury list to deal with. Wilfried Zaha picked up a calf injury against Liverpool and could join the likes of Vincente Guaita, Martin Kelly, Jeffrey Schlupp, James Tomkins, Wilfried Benteke and Cenk Tosun on the sidelines.

Burnley bounce back from heavy defeat

Burnley suffered a similar loss to the one experienced by Palace, but were able to recover and gain a valuable win against Watford on Thursday.
In their opening match following the season restart, Burnley were swept aside by Manchester City, who beat them 5-0. It was a game that raised many questions, with Burnley only able to name seven substitutes, of which two were goalkeepers.
Sean Dyche explained that the club had failed to extend the contracts of several players, limiting the numbers of what was already a slim squad. There has been speculation that Dyche will leave at the end of the season for a new challenge and yet despite such disruption in the background, Burnley were able to keep their minds on the job and defeat Watford 1-0.
Phil Bardsley has signed a new deal and is now available to Dyche again, but aside from the contract situation, he also has a number of injury worries. After scoring the winning goals against Watford, Jay Rodriguez had to be taken off and joins an injury list that includes Ben Gibson, Johann Berg Gudmundsson, Robbie Brady, Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood.

Back the draw between closely matched teams

Crystal Palace are the 2.46 favourites, with the draw at 3.20 and a Burnley win at 3.20.
Only goal difference separates tenth placed Palace and Burnley in eleventh. There is very little to choose between these well managed sides and this has the look of a low scoring match that will be decided by a single goal if there's a winner.
With that in mind, the draw looks the sensible bet at 3.20. At the very least it should provide an in-play trading opportunity.

Don't expect goals in first-half

Despite being tenth, only Norwich have scored less goals than Crystal Palace this season. Burnley can also find goals hard to come by and for both teams, this is particularly the case in the first-half of matches.
They have scored the fewest first-half goals this season, with Palace only managing nine and Burnley scoring ten. With both managers lacking options in attack due to injuries, the 0-0 half-time score could land at 2.54.